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Tropical Storm GRACE Forecast Advisory Number 12

2015-09-08 10:38:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080838 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015 0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 41.0W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 41.0W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 40.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.2N 43.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N 47.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.9N 50.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.3N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.3N 60.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 41.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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