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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 11
2024-09-14 04:40:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 14 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 140240 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 0300 UTC SAT SEP 14 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 40.3W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 40.3W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 39.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.9N 41.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.7N 43.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.5N 45.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.4N 46.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.3N 47.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N 49.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 20.1N 50.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.2N 50.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 40.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Ileana (EP4/EP092024)
2024-09-14 04:36:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA SKIRTING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... As of 8:00 PM MST Fri Sep 13 the center of Ileana was located near 23.5, -109.3 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Ileana Public Advisory Number 7
2024-09-14 04:36:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST Fri Sep 13 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 140235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 800 PM MST Fri Sep 13 2024 ...ILEANA SKIRTING THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 109.3W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Santa Fe southward * East coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from San Evaristo southward A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East coast of Baja California Sur Mexico north of San Evaristo to Loreto * Mainland Mexico from Topolobampo to Huatabampito A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of Ileana. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 109.3 West. Ileana is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A steady northward to north-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, Ileana is forecast to move near or over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula this evening, and over the southern and central Gulf of California this weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Ileana is expected to weaken to a tropical depression on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Through this weekend, Tropical Storm Ileana may produce rainfall of 4 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 8 inches, across southern Baja California Sur. For northwest coastal Sinaloa, Tropical Storm Ileana may result in between 6 to 8 inches with localized higher amounts up to 12 inches. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area in the southern Baja California Peninsula through this evening and into early Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST. Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics