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Tropical Storm Gordon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2024-09-15 16:57:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 151456 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 17
2024-09-15 16:56:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 151455 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 45.5W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 45.5W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 45.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.1N 46.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.9N 49.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.9N 49.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N 50.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.4N 50.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 48.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 45.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ileana Graphics
2024-09-15 16:41:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 14:41:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 15:28:48 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics