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Tropical Storm Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2021-08-17 10:55:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 17 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 170855 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 0900 UTC TUE AUG 17 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18) LA PESCA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 8(23) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 1(37) X(37) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 9(52) X(52) X(52) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 25(25) 36(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MONTEGO BAY 34 19 27(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MONTEGO BAY 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGSTON 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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