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Tropical Storm Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2021-08-19 16:43:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 191443 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC THU AUG 19 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LA PESCA MX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TAMPICO MX 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TUXPAN MX 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 24(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) VERACRUZ MX 34 X 5( 5) 34(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) FRONTERA MX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MERIDA MX 50 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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