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Tropical Storm Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-08-14 16:53:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 141453 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) 1(20) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 2(21) X(21) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 26(35) 1(36) X(36) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 14(30) 1(31) X(31) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 34(34) 8(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AGUADILLA PR 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 21(53) 1(54) X(54) 1(55) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 5(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) VIEQUES PR 34 X 4( 4) 58(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) VIEQUES PR 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 10(10) 45(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) SAINT THOMAS 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT CROIX 34 X 21(21) 43(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) SAINT CROIX 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 41(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SABA 34 X 66(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) SABA 50 X 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SABA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 69(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 68(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARBUDA 34 1 53(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) BARBUDA 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANTIGUA 34 1 68(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) ANTIGUA 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ANTIGUA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUADELOUPE 34 2 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Category:Transportation and Logistics
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