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Tropical Storm Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2021-08-15 16:46:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 151446 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE BEATA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 38(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PONCE PR 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) AGUADILLA PR 34 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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