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Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory Number 6
2024-09-24 22:57:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 242057 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 2100 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 84.7W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 84.7W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 84.6W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.4N 86.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.7N 86.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.7N 86.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.0N 84.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 55SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...210NE 240SE 140SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N 84.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 38.2N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 84.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-24 19:55:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241754 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Tropical Storm John, dissipated inland over southern Mexico. Offshore of Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure, partially associated with the remnants of John, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms along the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system and a tropical depression could form in the next couple of days or so, depending on if it stays over water. Interests in southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall and the potential for flash flooding and mudslides over portions of southern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Cangialosi
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-24 19:53:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241753 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently formed Tropical Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: Satellite surface wind data from earlier today showed a broad open trough associated with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics