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Tropical Storm IDA Forecast Advisory Number 5

2015-09-19 16:34:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 000 WTNT25 KNHC 191433 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 39.7W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 39.7W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 39.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 41.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N 43.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.2N 45.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.3N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 39.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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