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Tropical Storm Ileana Forecast Advisory Number 11
2024-09-15 04:35:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 150235 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 109.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.7N 109.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.4N 109.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.4N 110.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 109.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 15/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Ileana (EP4/EP092024)
2024-09-15 01:47:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA DRIFTING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER SINALOA... As of 5:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14 the center of Ileana was located near 25.4, -109.0 with movement S at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Ileana Public Advisory Number 10A
2024-09-15 01:47:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 142346 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 500 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 ...ILEANA DRIFTING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE SPREADING INLAND OVER SINALOA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM MST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 109.0W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...3 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Mexican states of Sinaloa and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of Ileana. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM MST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 109.0 West. Ileana is drifting toward the south near 2 mph (3 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later tonight or on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near, over the coastal region of northern Sinaloa during the next several hours, and then move over the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin this evening, and Ileana is likely to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on Sunday. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The Mexican Navy station at Topolobampo recently reported sustained winds of 44 mph (71 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora into this evening. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics