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Tropical Storm Ileana Public Advisory Number 11A
2024-09-15 07:39:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 150539 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 1100 PM MST Sat Sep 14 2024 ...ILEANA WEAKENING WHILE MEANDERING JUST OFFSHORE NORTHERN SINALOA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM MST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 109.2W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altata to Huatabampito Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next few hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM MST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 109.2 West. Ileana is meandering off the coast of northern Sinaloa but has a longer-term motion toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected soon with an increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana will move near the coastal region of northern Sinaloa overnight, and then move over the Gulf of California roughly parallel to the coast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have begun decreasing and are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Ileana is expected to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday. The remnant low is expected to dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ileana can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Ileana is expected to bring additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized higher amounts up to 10 inches, across northwest coastal Sinaloa through this weekend. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Ileana, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected across portions of the warning area in northern Sinaloa and southern Sonora during the next few hours. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will affect portions of the Gulf of California coasts of Sinaloa, southern Sonora, and southern Baja California Sur during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-15 07:29:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150529 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Offshore the Southeastern U.S. Coast: A non-tropical low pressure area has formed along a frontal boundary a couple of hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast and is producing winds to gale force north of its center. The low is forecast to move northwestward or northward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream toward the coasts of North Carolina and South Carolina, and it could become a subtropical or tropical storm during the next day or two if the associated front dissipates and showers and thunderstorms become sufficiently organized. Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, the low is likely to bring gusty winds, heavy rains with the potential for flash flooding, coastal flooding, and dangerous beach conditions to portions of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coast during the next couple of days, and interests in these areas should monitor the system's progress. Additional information can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-15 07:24:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150524 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 14 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ileana, located near the coast of northern Sinaloa, Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics