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Tropical Storm Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2024-09-13 22:40:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2024 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 132040 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) LA PAZ 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 10
2024-09-13 22:37:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2024 855 WTNT22 KNHC 132037 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 2100 UTC FRI SEP 13 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 39.5W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 39.5W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 39.0W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.8N 40.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.7N 42.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 44.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.4N 45.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 46.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.3N 47.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.9N 49.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.8N 49.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 39.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Gordon (AT2/AL072024)
2024-09-13 22:37:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GORDON HOLDING STEADY... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Sep 13 the center of Gordon was located near 19.5, -39.5 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics