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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2024-09-26 10:39:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 260839 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0900 UTC THU SEP 26 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) 1(25) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN


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Summary for Tropical Storm Isaac (AT5/AL102024)

2024-09-26 10:39:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ISAAC CONTINUES EASTWARD AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Sep 26 the center of Isaac was located near 37.1, -52.8 with movement E at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Storm Isaac Public Advisory Number 2

2024-09-26 10:39:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Sep 26 2024 000 WTNT35 KNHC 260839 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Isaac Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102024 500 AM AST Thu Sep 26 2024 ...ISAAC CONTINUES EASTWARD AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.1N 52.8W ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM W OF THE AZORES ABOUT 755 MI...1220 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaac was located near latitude 37.1 North, longitude 52.8 West. Isaac is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a general eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Isaac could be become a hurricane by Friday over the open Subtropical Atlantic. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Isaac and a large wind fetch from a deep-layer trough are affecting portions of the coast of Bermuda and could spread into the Azores by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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