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Tropical Storm Isaias Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2020-08-03 10:56:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 030856 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 0900 UTC MON AUG 03 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 31(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 17(17) 34(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 13(13) 36(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 36(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 33(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ALBANY NY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 11(11) 28(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 12(12) 26(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 25(25) 28(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 38(38) 25(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) 12(12) 13(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 31(31) 24(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 35(35) 20(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 46(46) 10(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) 17(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 47(47) 15(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) 18(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 30(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) ALLENTOWN PA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PHILADELPHIA 34 X 1( 1) 52(53) 7(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 62(63) 6(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 27(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 3( 3) 35(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) DOVER DE 34 X 3( 3) 64(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 4( 4) 43(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 4( 4) 31(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 4( 4) 71(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 40(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) 72(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 42(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 6( 6) 74(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 43(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) RICHMOND VA 34 X 10(10) 46(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) RICHMOND VA 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) DANVILLE VA 34 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 17(17) 65(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) NORFOLK NAS 50 X 1( 1) 41(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) NORFOLK VA 34 X 17(17) 65(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) NORFOLK VA 50 X 1( 1) 40(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 17(17) 65(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 1( 1) 41(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 30(30) 52(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X 3( 3) 37(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) RALEIGH NC 34 X 40(40) 6(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) RALEIGH NC 50 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 57(57) 18(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) ROCKY MT NC 50 X 16(16) 18(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 36(36) 24(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 62(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X 22(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 74(74) 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 26(26) 11(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 86(86) 4(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 45(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 72(72) 8(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 22(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) SURF CITY NC 34 1 88(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SURF CITY NC 50 X 53(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 90(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 53(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BALD HEAD ISL 34 3 91(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 61(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) FLORENCE SC 34 X 34(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) FLORENCE SC 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 3 88(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 55(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) LITTLE RIVER 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MYRTLE BEACH 34 4 83(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 47(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 2 64(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLESTON SC 34 8 34(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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