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Tropical Storm JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 3
2016-08-07 22:45:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 072045 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 2100 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS...AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES * SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... *SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 106.6W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 106.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.4N 108.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 109.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.2N 110.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.2N 111.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.6N 112.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 28.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 106.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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