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Tropical Storm JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 4
2016-08-08 04:46:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 080246 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 0300 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO TODO SANTOS...MEXICO. ELSEWHERE ON THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF TODO SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO...AND FROM EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS TO LOS BARRILES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO SAN LUCAS TO TODO SANTOS A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR... * TODO SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO * CABO SAN LUCAS TO LOS BARRILES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 107.7W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 107.7W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.4N 108.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 109.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.1N 110.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.5N 113.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 28.9N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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