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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 4
2016-08-08 04:50:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT SUN AUG 07 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 080250 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 900 PM MDT SUN AUG 07 2016 ...JAVIER GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 107.7W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the southern portion of Baja California peninsula from Cabo San Lucas to Todo Santos, Mexico. Elsewhere on the southern portion of Baja California peninsula, a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Todo Santos to Cabo San Lazaro, and from east of Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from north of Los Barriles to San Evaristo. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from north of San Evaristo to Loreto. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lucas to Todo Santos A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning are in effect for... * Todo Santos to Cabo San Lazaro * Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to San Evaristo A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 107.7 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier should approach the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula by late Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and Javier is forecast to become a hurricane by late Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over western or coastal parts of the Mexican states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacan, Nayarit and the southern part of Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through Tuesday morning. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday night and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the remainder of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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