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Tropical Storm JAVIER Public Advisory Number 5A

2016-08-08 13:46:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 600 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 081146 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 600 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016 ...JAVIER NEARING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.8N 108.9W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Hurricane Watch is in effect for * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to San Evaristo * Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 108.9 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier is forecast to pass near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late this afternoon or evening, and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is possible during the next day or so, and Javier could become a hurricane as it passes near the southern portion of Baja California. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over the extreme southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the remainder of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by late Monday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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