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Tropical Storm JAVIER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-08-08 10:51:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 080851 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 0900 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 20(33) X(33) X(33) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 41 52(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 4 50(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAN JOSE CABO 34 37 50(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) SAN JOSE CABO 50 3 39(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 2 44(46) 22(68) 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) LA PAZ 50 X 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) LA PAZ 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 14(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) LORETO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) HUATABAMPO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) CULIACAN 34 2 9(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MAZATLAN 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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