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Tropical Storm JAVIER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2016-08-08 22:50:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 082050 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 2100 UTC MON AUG 08 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 17(24) 12(36) X(36) X(36) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 43 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) SAN JOSE CABO 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 31 37(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) LA PAZ 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 4(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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