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Tropical Storm JULIO Forecast Advisory Number 4

2014-08-04 22:52:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 042052 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 2100 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 121.6W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 121.6W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 120.7W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.4N 123.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.7N 125.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.1N 128.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.6N 131.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.4N 136.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 16.0N 142.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 149.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 121.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BERG

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