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Tropical Storm Joyce Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2024-09-29 22:41:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 292041 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Twelve Forecast Advisory Number 1
2024-09-29 22:41:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 900 WTNT22 KNHC 292041 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.5W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.5W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.1W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.9N 33.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 35.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N 38.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N 40.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 35NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.9N 41.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 42.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 95NE 90SE 65SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 150NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 32.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Joyce (AT1/AL112024)
2024-09-29 22:41:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JOYCE GRADUALLY WEAKENING... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 29 the center of Joyce was located near 22.2, -49.2 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics