je.st
news
Tropical Storm Juliette Forecast Discussion Number 23
2019-09-06 22:37:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 062037 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Juliette Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112019 1100 AM HST Fri Sep 06 2019 Deep convection associated with Juliette has continued to gradually decrease in coverage and organization today. The various satellite intensity estimates have continued to slowly decline, and now support an initial intensity of 60 kt. The tropical storm will be moving over cooler waters and into a more stable environment during the next 24 to 36 hours. This should result in steady weakening and Juliette is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low in 36 to 48 hours. The system will be moving back over slightly warmer waters later in the forecast period, but westerly shear should prevent any re-organization. Juliette is now moving west-northwestward or 295/11 kt. There has been no change to the track forecast reasoning. The cyclone should continue west-northwestward tonight, and then turn westward on Saturday as it weakens and is steered by the low-level easterly flow. The track guidance remains in good agreement but has trended slightly faster once again. The new official forecast was adjusted accordingly, and is once again near the TVCE multi-model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 23.4N 124.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 07/0600Z 23.8N 126.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 07/1800Z 24.1N 128.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 08/0600Z 24.1N 130.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 08/1800Z 23.9N 133.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 09/1800Z 23.7N 137.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 10/1800Z 23.5N 140.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 11/1800Z 24.0N 144.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Category:Transportation and Logistics
Latest from this category |
All news |
||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||