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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 21

2014-08-18 04:36:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 180236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 130.4W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 130.4W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 130.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.0N 131.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.4N 134.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 0SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.4N 134.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 130.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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