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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 27

2014-08-19 16:31:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 191431 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 135.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 136.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 132.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 134.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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