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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory Number 31

2014-08-20 16:34:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 201434 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014 1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 136.6W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.2N 136.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 135.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 26.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 136.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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