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Tropical Storm Karen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2019-09-22 10:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 220857 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) X(17) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 28(35) 1(36) X(36) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 2(37) X(37) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 23(36) 1(37) 1(38) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) SABA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 1(15) X(15) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUADELOUPE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AVES 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 11(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) AVES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MARTINIQUE 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT LUCIA 34 19 7(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAINT VINCENT 34 53 11(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) BARBADOS 34 37 X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) GRENADA 34 18 20(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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