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Tropical Storm Kiko Forecast Discussion Number 42
2019-09-22 22:35:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 222035 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kiko Discussion Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132019 1100 AM HST Sun Sep 22 2019 Not much can be added to Kiko after nearly 10 days describing the cyclone. It still consists of a tight circulation of low clouds with intermittent bursts of deep convection. Based on Dvorak estimates the initial intensity is kept at 35 kts. Kiko has the opportunity to strengthen a little bit in one of those burst, but the general trend is for Kiko to weaken and become a remnant low as it crosses the end of our domain. Kiko is moving toward the west-southwest at 6 knots steered by the subtropical ridge and its associated trades. Kiko will continue swinging south of west and north of due west as the subtropical high pulses during the next few days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 16.1N 133.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 15.7N 134.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 16.0N 136.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 17.2N 137.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 18.5N 138.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 25/1800Z 19.0N 140.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/1800Z 18.5N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 27/1800Z 17.5N 142.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Avila
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