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Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 12
2018-09-26 22:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2018 068 WTNT22 KNHC 262031 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * ST. LUCIA * DOMINICA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIRK AS ADDITIONAL WARNINGS OR WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 55.7W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 55.7W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 55.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.5N 57.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.4N 60.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.1N 62.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.7N 65.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.3N 70.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 15.7N 74.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 55.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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