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Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 15
2018-09-27 16:51:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 356 WTNT22 KNHC 271451 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * ST. LUCIA * DOMINICA * MARTINIQUE * GUADELOUPE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIRK. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 59.3W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 59.3W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 58.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.3N 61.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.9N 63.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.5N 65.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.9N 67.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 59.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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