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Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2018-09-27 22:35:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 292 FONT12 KNHC 272035 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018 2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 9 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) AVES 34 4 30(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) AVES 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 43 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) MARTINIQUE 34 83 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MARTINIQUE 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT LUCIA 34 63 X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) SAINT VINCENT 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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