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Tropical Storm LISA Forecast Advisory Number 4
2016-09-20 16:50:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 201449 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 30.4W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 30.4W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 30.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 31.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 33.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.2N 35.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.1N 36.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.7N 39.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.5N 41.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.3N 43.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 30.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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