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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 37

2024-10-11 16:47:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 111447 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 50.5W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 50.5W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.4N 48.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.7N 45.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 39.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.2N 34.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 36.8N 29.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.4N 24.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 50.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-11 15:08:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 111308 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 910 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance near the Cabo Verde Islands (AL94). Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Near the Cabo Verde Islands (AL94): Updated: Very recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that winds to tropical storm force are occurring over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in association with an area of low pressure centered near the southwestern portion of the archipelago. However, the satellite data showed that the circulation is elongated, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Some additional development is possible, and a short-lived tropical storm could form while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Cabo Verde Islands and eastern tropical Atlantic today. On Saturday, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive, and further development appears unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, winds to tropical storm force and areas of heavy rain are likely to continue over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight. For additional information on this system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. $$ Forecaster Berg


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-11 13:18:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111118 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 11 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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