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Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
2024-10-12 10:37:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 12 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 120837 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0900 UTC SAT OCT 12 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132024)
2024-10-12 10:36:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE RACING NORTHEASTWARD... As of 5:00 AM AST Sat Oct 12 the center of Leslie was located near 31.3, -45.9 with movement NE at 24 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Leslie Public Advisory Number 40
2024-10-12 10:36:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sat Oct 12 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 120836 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 40 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 500 AM AST Sat Oct 12 2024 ...LESLIE RACING NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.3N 45.9W ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Leslie. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 45.9 West. Leslie is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h) and a northeastward to eastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie is expected to pass near or over the Azores late Sunday or Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is likely to gradually weaken and become an extratropical cyclone tonight or Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics