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Tropical Storm Lorena Forecast Advisory Number 2
2019-09-17 22:40:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 172040 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.3W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.3W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.7N 102.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.3N 103.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 104.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.2N 104.8W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 101.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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