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Tropical Storm MADELINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2016-08-27 10:56:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 270856 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142016 0900 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 55 26(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 15N 140W 50 5 25(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 140W 64 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 140W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) 15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 46(65) 3(68) X(68) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 3(31) X(31) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 35(45) 6(51) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 9(44) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 19(28) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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