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Tropical Storm Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-09-17 22:38:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 172038 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 3 36(39) 4(43) 2(45) 3(48) 2(50) X(50) 15N 110W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 8(18) 4(22) 1(23) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 27(46) 12(58) 5(63) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 4(23) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 15N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 17(41) 10(51) 4(55) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 3(18) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 10(26) 7(33) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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