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Tropical Storm Max Forecast Discussion Number 2
2017-09-13 22:33:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 132032 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Max Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 400 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017 Visible imagery during the day indicate that the cloud pattern has improved in organization and consists of a well-defined cyclonically curved convective band. This band wraps around an area of deep convection where the center is located. T-numbers from both TAFB and SAB agree that the cyclone is now a tropical storm with 35 kt winds. A portion of the circulation is already interacting with land, so no significant strengthening is forecast before the center moves inland. The government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for a portion of the coast. The depression is located at the bottom of a large mid-latitude trough, and this pattern will carry the depression slowly east- northeastward toward the coast of Mexico, and then farther inland. Most of the global models dissipate Max once it moves over the high terrain, and the NHC forecast calls for the cyclone to dissipate in about 48 hour or sooner. The main threat from Max will be torrential rains over portions of southwestern Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/2100Z 16.1N 101.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 14/0600Z 16.5N 100.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 14/1800Z 16.8N 99.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 15/0600Z 17.0N 97.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Category:Transportation and Logistics