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Tropical Storm Milton Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-10-06 04:31:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 975 WTNT24 KNHC 060230 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 95.1W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 95.1W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 95.3W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 94.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N 93.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.1N 92.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 15SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 23.3N 90.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.9N 88.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.3N 86.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.2N 82.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 140NW. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 30.8N 76.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...270NE 180SE 210SW 210NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 95.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-06 01:25:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located just off the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle portions of next week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-06 01:25:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 052324 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics