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Tropical Storm Narda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2019-09-30 16:58:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2019 450 FOPZ11 KNHC 301458 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM NARDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NARDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 9(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X 6( 6) 18(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 22(22) 7(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) LOS MOCHIS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 7 16(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MAZATLAN 34 38 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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