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Tropical Storm Nicholas Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2021-09-14 22:51:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 142051 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021 2100 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) LAFAYETTE LA 34 5 9(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 9(14) 3(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FORT POLK LA 34 6 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) LAKE CHARLES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAMERON LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JASPER TX 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KOUNTZE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GALVESTON TX 34 5 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 6 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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