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Tropical Storm Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2021-08-27 22:49:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 272048 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 42(65) 3(68) 1(69) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) X(25) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 45(70) 3(73) 1(74) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 3(30) 1(31) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 15(47) 1(48) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 6(30) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 11(27) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 4(21) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 12(28) 1(29) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 3(25) X(25) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 8( 9) 53(62) 19(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 10(10) 19(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 29(43) 11(54) 1(55) X(55) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 6(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 34 X 12(12) 35(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 105W 50 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 6 53(59) 5(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) MANZANILLO 34 29 28(57) 2(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) MANZANILLO 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ZIHUATANEJO 34 6 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 110W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 8(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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