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Tropical Storm OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 11

2015-10-17 16:43:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 171443 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 129.5W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 129.5W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 129.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 9.5N 130.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 9.8N 132.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 10.3N 134.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.0N 135.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.6N 139.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 14.7N 141.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 16.9N 142.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 129.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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