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Tropical Storm OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 13

2015-10-18 04:38:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 180238 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 131.0W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 131.0W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 130.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 9.4N 132.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 9.9N 134.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 10.4N 135.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.2N 137.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 15.5N 142.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 142.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.2N 131.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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