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Tropical Storm OLAF Public Advisory Number 11

2015-10-17 16:43:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2015 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 171443 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 800 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2015 ...OLAF STILL STRENGTHENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.4N 129.5W ABOUT 1595 MI...2570 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Olaf was located near latitude 9.4 North, longitude 129.5 West. Olaf is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected later today, with a turn toward the west-northwest forecast on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Olaf is expected to become a hurricane tonight or Sunday, and be near major hurricane strength Monday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain

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