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Tropical Storm Octave Forecast Advisory Number 4
2019-10-18 16:46:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 181446 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182019 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 126.6W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.1N 126.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.6N 126.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.6N 125.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.2N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.0N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 11.5N 126.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 126.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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