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Tropical Storm Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2021-10-12 22:46:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 122046 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) SAN JOSE CABO 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 7 34(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) ISLAS MARIAS 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MAZATLAN 34 66 22(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MAZATLAN 50 3 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAZATLAN 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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