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Tropical Storm Patty Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2024-11-04 09:48:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 040848 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM PATTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 0900 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 18.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)
2024-11-04 09:47:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PATTY QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... As of 9:00 AM GMT Mon Nov 4 the center of Patty was located near 38.2, -18.0 with movement ENE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 9
2024-11-04 09:47:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 AM GMT Mon Nov 04 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 040847 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 900 AM GMT Mon Nov 04 2024 ...PATTY QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.2N 18.0W ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM E OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 18.0 West. Patty is moving toward the east-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected later today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Patty can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml RAINFALL: Between late today and Tuesday, Patty or its remnants are expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 millimeters) with local amounts to 5 inches (125 millimeters) across portions of Portugal and western Spain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Category: Transportation and Logistics