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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 15

2020-09-10 16:37:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 101437 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 49.1W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 210SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 49.1W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.7W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.8N 50.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.6N 52.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.8N 54.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 50SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.4N 56.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 40SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.9N 58.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 32.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 49.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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