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Tropical Storm Pilar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-09-24 04:56:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 240256 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) X(14) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 15(15) 20(35) 5(40) 5(45) 1(46) X(46) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 10(25) 2(27) X(27) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X 18(18) 20(38) 5(43) 4(47) 2(49) X(49) SAN BLAS 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) P VALLARTA 34 3 46(49) 8(57) 1(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) P VALLARTA 50 X 11(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) P VALLARTA 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 22 4(26) 1(27) 1(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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